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Researchers at the University of Michigan have collected new
statistics on the safety of flying. Even including the two
hundred and thirty two lives lost on September 11th 2001, the
results indicate that flying is safer than driving. Using the
number of passengers killed on United States airlines in the last
ten years, they found that the risk of death during a flight with
one take off and landing is about one in twelve and a half million.
For each additional leg of the flight the risk is roughly doubled.
When it comes to driving the risk is different in that it rises
steadily with the distance travelled. Most car accidents
purportedly happen near home. Therefore evaluation of risk for
automobile travel needs to be made on major highways because they
represent the most likely alternative to flying. The risk of
death from driving turned out to be slightly more than four in a
billion, per kilometre of road travelled.
In order to compare these two values, one dependent on distance,
and the other on take off and landing frequency, the researchers did
some complex calculations. They concluded that if you are
travelling more than eighteen kilometres, you’re better off flying.
Even with two stops, the cut off distance is only fifty-four
kilometres.
For flying to be as risky as driving there would have to be a
plane disaster on the scale of September 11th, at least once a
month.
So next time you take a trip, trust the statistics, and climb
aboard.
MOVING
BEYOND MATTER
by Deborah Piggott
We see what truly unique creatures we are when it comes to risk
taking and trust. For some people the mere thought of setting
off on an risky adventure sends chills up their spine and others
live in anticipation of the next challenge.
There are techniques taught by motivational speakers to encourage
stepping out of our comfort zone. One is don’t think about it
too much, just jump right in. Another is asking yourself what
you really have to lose - Failure can be an opportunity to learn
what went wrong and try again. Apparently with practice, risk
taking becomes easier.
This example comes to mind now when I consider something risky.
It is a valuable lesson I learned by watching my cat use the cat
door we installed so he can come and go as he pleases. When
the cat is inside and wants to go out he approaches the door, pauses
for a moment with tail flicking and then leaps through at full speed
no doubt to scare whatever might be waiting on the other side.
Approaching boldly, hesitating but a moment to consider the
situation and once fully committed proceeding courageously are keys
to risk taking.
But, since I am a human there is another important element I
would add and that is prayer. Everyday we take for granted the
thing we trust in to sustain physical life - the air we breathe -
although it surrounds us, it is invisible. But it is there,
just like God, who is omnipresent.
In the spiritual realm we trust in that which we cannot see and
cannot touch. The Bible has a lot to say about faith.
There is a very special prayer found in John’s gospel. Before
Jesus was arrested He prayed for Himself, and for His disciples and
for all those who would believe. He prayed for us who would
not be able to see Him in the physical sense or reach out and touch
Him, yet, by faith would see Him spiritually. Trusting our
lives to Him is not taking a risk or gambling on a perilous outcome.
When we move toward God without hesitation, not looking back we
have the confidence and comfort of being totally surrounded by an
unseen but ever present God.
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